The Fama-French three factor models are commonly used in the description of asset returns in finance. Statistically speaking, the Fama-French three factor models imply that the return of an asset can be accounted for directly by the Fama-French three factors, i.e. market, size and value factor, through a linear function. A natural question is: would some kind of transformed Fama-French three factors work better? If so, what kind of transformation should be imposed on each factor in order to make the transformed three factors better account for asset returns?
In this paper, we are going to address these questions through nonparametric modelling. We propose a data driven approach to construct the transformation for each factor concerned. A generalised maximum likelihood ratio based hypothesis test is also proposed to test whether transformations on the Fama-French three factors are needed for a given data set. Asymptotic properties are established to justify the proposed methods. Extensive simulation studies are conducted to show how the proposed methods perform with finite sample size. Finally, we apply the proposed methods to a real data set, which leads to some interesting findings.
Li Jialiang received BS in Statistics from University of Science and Technology of China and PhD in Statistics from University of Wisconsin. He has published over 120 peer-reviewed articles on scientific journals, including top journals such as Annals of Statistics, JASA, Biometrics. He has one monograph Survival Analysis in Medicine and Genetics published by Chapman & Hall CRC Press. According to Google scholar his citation is above 2000 and his h-index is 25. He has been Associated Editor for Biometrics and Lifetime Data Analysis. He has been PI for a few national grants in Singapore. Currently he works on change point analysis, functional data and smoothing methods.