Seminar: Deep Learning: A Bayesian Perspective
Date: Dec 4 (Mon), 2017
Time: 3:15pm to 4:15pm
Venue: Room 14-221, 14/F, Lau Ming Wai Academic Building

Deep learning is a form of machine learning for nonlinear high dimensional pattern matching and prediction. By taking a Bayesian probabilistic perspective, we provide a number of advantages, with more efficient algorithms for optimization and hyper-parameter tuning, and an explanation of predictive performance. A framework for constructing good Bayesian predictors in high dimensions is provided. Traditional high-dimensional data reduction techniques; principal component analysis (PCA), partial least squares (PLS), reduced rank regression (RRR),projection pursuit regression (PPR) are shown to be shallow learners. Their deep learning counterparts exploit multiple layers of data reduction which leads to performance gains. Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) training, and optimization and Dropout (DO) provide model and variable selection. Bayesian regularization is central to finding networks and optimizing the bias-variance trade-off, to achieve good out-of sample performance. To illustrate our methodology, we provide an analysis of first time international bookings on Airbnb. Finally, we conclude with directions for future research.

Event Speaker
Prof Nicholas Polson, University of Chicago

Nicholas Polson is Robert Law JR. Professor of Econometrics and Statistics at the Booth Business School of the University of Chicago. He received his B.A. and M.A. with First Class Honours from the University of Oxford, and PhD from the University of Nottingham. Nick works in the areas of financial econometrics, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, practice learning and Bayesian inference. His article, “Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models”, was named one of the most influential articles in the 20th anniversary issue of the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. Nick is a fellow of the American Statistical Association, and has held editorial positions with the Journal of the American Statistical Association and the Journal of Econometrics.